Decision support systems for forecasting

A special session of the 39th Congress of the

Canadian Meteorological and Oceanographic Society,

Vancouver, British Columbia, May 31 to June 3, 2005

Twenty-six presentations were given in the DSS session on a wide variety of topics relating to DSS and forecasting, and over four hundred people submitted abstracts to the CMOS congress itself. Several other special sessions dealt with issues relating to DSS. A complete program is available on the CMOS congress website.

Program

Wednesday, June 1

SF2-1	Nowcasting, Radar, Techniques
10:30-10:45	The Warning Decision Support System -- Integrated Information (WDSS-II): A decision support system for severe weather analysis and forecasting (1.8 M)	Valliappa Lakshmanan, University of Oklahoma
10:45-11:00	The NCAR Auto-Nowcast System and forecaster role (10.5 M)	James Wilson, National Center for Atmospheric Research
11:00-11:15	The Nowcast Decision Support System: A Complete Approach to Decision Making (2.5 M)	Bill Conway, Weather Decision Technologies
11:15-11:30	Target identification with a dual polarized C-band radar (808 k)	Jim Young, Meteorological Service of Canada
11:30-11:45	The Mixed phase precipitation storm of 23 December 2004 in southern Ontario. Part 1: Meteorological Aspects (2.6 M)	Pat King, Meteorological Service of Canada
11:45-12:00	The Mixed phase precipitation storm of 23 December 2004 in southern Ontario. Part 2: Analysis using polarimetric data (6.3 M)	Sarah Wong, Meteorological Service of Canada
SF2-2	Integration, Visualization
14:00-14:15	Using Enhanced Graphic Production for Decision Support (3 M)	Brian Greaves, Meteorological Service of Canada
14:15-14:30	Nowcasting Airport Winter Weather:  AVISA and Beyond	George Isaac, Meteorological Service of Canada
14:30-14:45	The integrated system for production, monitoring and diagnostics at the Norwegian Meteorological Institute (1.1 M)	Helen Korsmo, Norwegian Meteorological Institute
14:45-15:00	Scribe Nowcasting - A Decision Support System (4.2 M)	Richard Verret, Meteorological Service of Canada
15:00-15:15	On the use of ensembles in the forecasting process (1.2 M)	Laurie Wilson, Meteorological Service of Canada
SF2-P	Poster Session  [held jointly with other sessions]
15:15-16:15	An educational tool to better understand how air is used locally (4.5 M)	Lewis Poulin, Meteorological Service of Canada
15:15-16:15	Observational Error Statistics for Radar Data Assimilation (385 k)	Yongmei Zhou, University of British Columbia
15:15-16:15	Initial results on the forecasting of snowfall to snow water equivalent ratio by a new model (2.6 M)	Jessica Cox, McGill University
15:15-16:15	VisualTAF: Graphical Forecast Verification - A First Step to Improving Forecast Quality (1.6 M)	Heather Antoniuk, University of Alberta
SF2-3	Integration, Techniques
16:15-16:30	The Research Support Desk at the Ontario Storm Prediction (9.6 M)	David Sills, Meteorological Service of Canada
16:30-16:45	The Edmonton Hailstorm of 2004: Integrating Hail, Convective Precipitation and Lightning Forecasts (2.0 M)	Julian Brimelow, University of Alberta
16:45-17:00	Satellite use for fog nowcasting and cloud phase detection	Janti Reid, Meteorological Service of Canada
17:00-17:15	A fuzzy logic based analog forecasting system for ceiling and visibility (1.6 M, 6.4 M)	Bjarne Hansen, Meteorological Service of Canada
17:15-17:30	CMC colour image production and the Vizaweb interface (5.0 M)	Lewis Poulin, Meteorological Service of Canada

Thursday, June 2

SF2-4	Probabilistic Forecasts, Verification
10:30-10:45	Consensus Forecasting of Sensible Weather (232 k)	Bill Myers, National Center for Atmospheric Research
10:45-11:00	A comparison of methods for combining probabilistic forecasts (1.2 M)	Matthew Pocernich, National Center for Atmospheric Research
11:00-11:15	The Winter Maintenance Decision Support System (MDSS): Project Status and Summary Results (2.9 M)	Bill Mahoney, National Center for Atmospheric Research
11:15-11:30	Using Methods of Experimental Economics to Assess the Communication of Forecast Uncertainty (364 k)	Mark Roulston, Pennsylvania State University
11:30-11:45	A Probability of Event Occurrence Approach to Performance Estimate (4.1 M)	Phil Chadwick, Meteorological Service of Canada
11:45-12:00	Atlantic Ensemble Marine Forecast Validation against Regional 00HR GEM Forecasts (372 k)	Serge Desjardins, Meteorological Service of Canada
13:30-15:00	Discussion on decision support systems for forecasting	All are welcome

Friday, June 3

SF1-4	Air Quality Forecasting
13:45-14:00	Fuzzy Logic Modeling of Surface Ozone Concentrations (598 k)	Rachel Mintz, Meteorological Service of Canada

Last updated 9 June 2005